Math · chapter 12 of 13
What usually happens
Throw three bodies together and the usual ending is a fight two of them win: one gets thrown out, the other two are left closer than they started. You cannot predict which — but you can price it.
Give up on predicting the path and ask a different question: out of many random triples, what fraction end which way? That question has answers, and they are stable, and they are useful.
Start a pair in orbit and send a third body in. Three things can happen. It can fly past, leaving the pair a little changed — a flyby. It can trade places with one of the pair and leave the other one out in the cold — an exchange. Or all three can mill about for a while in a resonance, drawing loops around each other, and then one leaves for good — an ejection. Given enough time, and with the energy to allow it, ejection is what almost always happens.
The bookkeeping is exact even though the path is not. Energy is conserved, so the body that leaves takes kinetic energy with it, and the pair left behind must go down by the same amount — which for a gravitational pair means closer together and faster. This is how a binary tightens: by throwing things out. It is also where a slingshot comes from. Voyager 2 did not gain energy from nothing; Jupiter lost a slice, and Jupiter can afford it.
In 2019 Nicholas Stone and Nathan Leigh derived the outcome distribution — a closed-form answer for the statistics of the chaotic problem, with the escaper's energy and the leftover pair's shape as probabilities. The individual path stays unpredictable; the odds are now written down.
The stable arrangements are the hierarchical ones: a close pair with a distant third, each level looking like a two-body orbit with a small correction. Sun, Earth, Moon. Every triple star that has lasted. Even those have a slow knife: if the outer orbit is tilted more than about 39.2° from the inner one, the Kozai–Lidov mechanism trades the tilt for stretch, and the inner pair's orbit swings between round and cigar-shaped over thousands of orbits. That mechanism is now standard equipment in explanations of hot Jupiters and of black-hole pairs that merge.
The demo below runs a few hundred random triples in your browser and counts what they did. The percentages on the page are whatever the run produced, computed there and then.
Reading it: Whatever energy the ejected body leaves with comes out of the pair that stays, which pulls them closer together.
A tighter pair is a lower-energy pair, because the energy is negative and grows more so. This is the engine behind hard binaries in star clusters getting harder.
Reading it: How much the pair tightens, and the tilt beyond which a distant third body starts stretching the inner orbit.
The second is the Kozai–Lidov threshold. Above it, the inner pair's roundness and its tilt trade back and forth on a long cycle.
Reading it: How long the milling-about lasts has no typical value worth quoting: mostly quick, with a long tail of triples that hang on.
Which is why the demo shows the spread rather than an average. An average over a heavy-tailed distribution is a number that describes nothing.
This one runs in the browser, with JavaScript on. The words above it stand on their own.
643 random triples of equal weight, run for 60 time units while this page was being built. 435 of them — 67.7% — threw a body clear out; 208 were still together at the end. Half the ejections had happened by t = 29.0, a tenth before 12.5, and a tenth not until after 48.4.
Sources
- Stone & Leigh, A statistical solution to the chaotic, non-hierarchical three-body problem (Nature, 2019)
- Hut & Bahcall, Binary–single star scattering (Astrophysical Journal, 1983)
- Wikipedia, Kozai mechanism
- Wikipedia, Gravity assist
- Wikipedia, Hierarchical triple star system
- Wikipedia, Pythagorean three-body problem